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Ten Major Trends Affecting The Church (from 1986!)

Orginally published on Monday, November 26, 2007 at 6:15 AM
by Todd Rhoades

I made an interesting discovery recently of a book on church trends written back in 1986 by Howard Snyder and Daniel Runyon titled “Foresight: 10 Major Trends That Will Dramatically Affect the Future of Christians and the Church”. I thought it might be fun to see how their predictions are coming true some twenty-one years after the writing. See what you think from their synopsis:

1. From regional churches to world Church.
We shall likely see a world church emerge that is much more diverse ethnically and culturally; exhibits a greater mutual respect for the leadership, styles, ministries, arid traditions of other Christian believers; is increasingly urban; and ministers more intentionally to the poor, oppressed, and suffering.

2. From scattered growth to broad revival.
Many people anticipate a deep and genuine movement of renewal centered in a “third wave” of charismatic renewal, renewal in mainline denominations, resurgence of the Roman Catholic Church, and new dialogue among Catholic, Protestant, and Orthodox Christians. The growth of house churches and of “power evangelism” churches may be part of a new wave of revival.

3. From Communist China to Christian China.
The resurgence of Chinese Christianity is likely to impact world Christianity in several ways. The Chinese church may provide sources of major new vitality, leadership, and structural forms for the church worldwide. Chinese Christianity will also enrich the theology and self-understanding of the world church.

4. From institutional tradition to kingdom theology.
A world church touched by renewal will require a global theology. Such a theology seems to be coalescing around themes of the reign or rule of God, stressing Cod’s sovereign direction, despite and through human agency, in the course of world history. The kingdom theme is receiving increasing attention in conferences, journals, and book publishing. Such a theology has wide-ranging implications for all areas of the church’s life, including worship, the church’s internal community life, its witness through evangelism and justice ministries, and its relationship to political powers.

5. From clergy/laity to community of ministers.
A new model of pastoral leadership appears to be emerging, which will produce a very different kind of church in the future. The New Testament pattern of each congregation being led by a team of spiritually mature leaders is receiving new emphasis. A long-term trend toward plural leadership and the New Testament “equipping” model of pastoring may be underway, especially outside the United States.

6. From male leadership to male-female partnership.
The definition of the pastoral role will probably become broader and more flexible as women bring more variety, fresh ideas, differing perspectives, and a broader range of leadership styles into church leadership.The emphasis on community, informality, and nurture in the church will be enhanced.  Theologically and conceptually, more women in church leadership with increase the tendency toward organic and ecological models of the world and the church.

7. From secularization to religious relativism.
The church has always faced the problem of how to be in the world yet not of it. But secularization comes in waves. Today the church faces a tidal wave, with many Christians in North America and Western Europe accommodating to values shaped more by the world than by biblical faith. Surveys show little difference between the views and behaviors of those who claim to be committed Christians and those who don’t.

8. From nuclear family to family diversity.
The traditional North American church has been ambushed by cultural diversity, especially in family lifestyles. By and large, white Protestant churches still assume the importance of the nuclear family (two parents, two or more children), when in fact very often that’s not the primary clientele they deal with, especially in cities. The challenge for the church will be to minister to this diversity without compromising the gospel.

9. From church/state separation to Christian political activism.
As Christian political involvement expands to include far reaching issues such as foreign polity and the earth’s resources, a crucial question is whether or not Christians can distinguish between kingdom priorities and narrowly nationalistic interests. Will tomorrow’s Christians be able to see, and persuade others to see, that the priorities of God’s kingdom are ultimately more in one’s own national interests than are narrower self-serving aims?

10. From safe planet to threatened planet.
Three major world realities are shaping a new and volatile situation for the church. They are so basic and potentially dangerous that together they constitute a world of mega-dangers for all earth’s peoples. These realities are (1) the widening gap between rich and poor, (2} our threatened ecosphere, and (3) the dangers of nuclear armaments. From a Christian standpoint, these issues caution us against triumphalism or an easy optimism. Human sin is still with us, nut only in each individual and group, but cumulatively, clogging the structures of our social and environmental systems. As we move into the twenty-first century, the world is one family at war with itself and threatening to poison or explode its own home.
You can read more about their book (which is, not surprisingly, out of print) here.

You can find more information about this book here...

What do you think?  Were they accurate at all?


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  There are 8 Comments:

  • Posted by Phil DiLernia

    1.  The church has not grown in respect to past traditions since so many of our churches have made traditions the icon of worship and not the truths of God and the gospel of Jesus Christ.  (Matthew 15:3, Mark 7:9) This is an unfortunate reality of the church in America today.
    2.  I believe that to some degree we have seen some of what the author proposed here in 1986.  Maybe not to the degree that he proposed it however.  The Roman Catholic church is not reviving in the U.S.; in fact we still have waves leaving the RC church and moving into the Protestant church.  While there has recently been some movement the other way it is still ions away from offsetting the losses.  Certainly the charismatic church has made great inroads and growth and that is mainly due to #1 above that so many churches held onto tradition at the cost of truth it has caused the pendulum of truth concerning spiritual gifts to sway (in my opinion) far over to the other side.
    3.  We have no Christian China – yet – but certainly this prediction has made great strides towards a reality.  People in China are hungry for the gospel and by all accounts many are being saved.  When I was in Peru I found the same hunger.  Only the “rich” and industrialized nations seem to be “satisfied” without Jesus.  My concern for China is that as they experience more material growth and wealth that their “hunger” may dissipate so I pray that our window of opportunity for tremendous growth isn’t lost.
    4.  This is just making great inroads (thank God) and it is the “despised” emergent branch of the church who is making the greatest inroads in this area. 
    5.  Actually, in the largest and fastest growing churches we have strong central leadership from pastors (a good thing) who have allowed their vision to be carried out (equipping) by other talented, gifted, and inspired people.  A very good thing.  So I believe we’re seeing a conglomeration of this reality.
    6.  Hmmm … another conundrum.  In the mainline churches that are dying on the vine we see an increase in female spiritual leadership (pastors and elders.) However in the growing mega-church movement we see mostly male leadership in the biblical roles of pastor/elders but a growth in leadership positions with women at the helm of ministry.  And that ministry is no longer restricted to the Welcome Committee but is in areas such as finance, evangelism, etc.  I believe the mainline churches have it wrong (IMO) and the others have it right (IMO) as per scripture.
    7.  This is true but I’m not sure it’s a prediction so much as a reality of church-dome since the time if our first century churches.
    8.  Yes, of course this is true.  We need to teach and demonstrate the truth, obedience, and repentance on our own lives.  Then we can love others who have made wrong choices and encourage/challenge them to repent for their choices and make different ones as they move forward.  I think of Jesus calling “Levi” and the Pharisees saying “Why is this Jesus hanging around with sinners?” His response was awesome “It’s the sick who need a doctor!” Without people making wrong choices we would have no need for the gospel.
    9.  Christians have most definitely become political but we have messed up BIG TIME.  Rather than take the lead and speak out against oppression we watched Liberation Theology take hold in South America.  Rather than speak out against ruining our earth we allowed an entire ecological movement begin without God’s children (the very stewards of this earth) having any say at the table.  And the list goes on and on.  Just recently we are seeing Christians take the stance that maybe all of science isn’t out of their minds and maybe God is trying to warn us about how we are faring as stewards and caretakers over His creation?
    10.  See #9.  This is where the church is going to get a zillion converts if they can demonstrate the love and care for God’s creation that we are called to demonstrate.  Right now the world sees Christians taking a Republican position on most every issue no matter how ridiculous the stance may be (and how unscriptural I might add.) We need to become political with scripture informing our views and our politics MUST go beyond homosexuality and abortion.  It must be all encompassing and it must include concern for humans in South America, China, Africa, as well as the unborn here in the U.S.

    There’s my take!

  • Posted by Tye Male

    “5. From clergy/laity to community of ministers.” This movement is in full stride right now. For the past thirty five hundred years of church history (going back to the exodus) worship and pastoral care have been about a “place and a person.” In the OT it was the priest and the sanctuary/temple. In the NT it became the church and the pastor. This is changing and must change.

    More and more pastors are giving ministry back to the people and this is a good thing. In fact, we are really getting back to the biblical model of ministry - Ephesians 4:11-16.

    Personally, I couldn’t think of a more exciting time in the history of the church to be serving.

  • Posted by

    What this portends is grim news for the “church”. It will be become more pluralistic, post-modern, ecumenical, and cultural.
    The gospel message will get lost in its attempt to become culturally relevant.

  • Posted by Ed Vasicek

    I think they did fine on the no-brainer stuff that everyone knew and that was obvious.  But the rest was off, mere projections of trends they saw in the 80’s.

    Missing, for example, is the resurgence of Islam, the compromises of the Emerging Church, and the tremendous loss of 20 something Christians.

    Catholicism has moved in the opposite direction with the new pope.
    The Chinese Church will eventually be the dominant church, but not yet.  Evangelicals are beginning to drop off politically, no longer seeking political solutions for spiritual problems.

    When all is said and done, the experts really offered few insights that were not obvious, and missed the boat completely when they tried to do so.  Bad job.

  • Posted by Randy Ehle

    Hmm...I’d have to disagree with Christopher and Ed; seems to me that Snyder and Runyon were very much on track.  It’s easy in hindsight to say these observations were “obvious”, and even if they were obvious, I’m not so sure that diminishes the importance. 

    To Christopher’s comment that “The gospel message will get lost in its attempt to become culturally relevant” I would merely bring a reminder of Jesus’ promise in Matt 16:18 - “I will build my church, and the gates of hell shall not prevail against it.” (ESV)

  • Posted by Peter Hamm

    I see a lot of progress in 5, 6, 7 (yecch), 8, and 10. Some real negative “progress” in some of the others.

  • Posted by Monte Sahlin

    The first three fall short, but the last seven seem to have unfolded in much the way they were projected two decades ago. Who is doing this kind of risky, forward-thinking work today?

  • Posted by Ken in VB

    For better or worse, these guys did a pretty good job.

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